It's Not Luck (Summary)
Your company is about to be sold for parts. Your three biggest business units are struggling, and the board is demanding a plan in just three weeks. What do you do? You don't slash budgets or fire staff. Instead, you lock yourself in a room with a whiteboard and start asking a few deceptively simple questions: 'What to change?', 'What to change to?', and 'How to cause the change?'. This is the story of how a handful of logic diagrams can save a billion-dollar company.
Your Biggest Problems Stem from One Core Conflict
Complex business issues that present dozens of undesirable effects can almost always be traced back to a single, underlying conflict or flawed assumption. Resolving this one core conflict can make the other problems evaporate.
One of the company's divisions is torn between offering a wide variety of products to satisfy every customer (to increase sales) and offering a limited range to reduce inventory costs. The 'Evaporating Cloud' diagram reveals the hidden assumption: that a wide variety is the only way to satisfy customers. The breakthrough comes from finding a way to provide high availability of products without carrying massive inventory (e.g., rapid replenishment).
Make Your Customer an Offer They Can't Refuse
Instead of competing on price or features, you should construct a 'Mafia Offer'—a deal that addresses your customer's most significant limitation so profoundly that choosing a competitor becomes illogical.
A printing company is losing business to cheaper competitors. Instead of lowering prices, they offer their customers (magazine publishers) a deal: they'll take full responsibility for the entire supply chain, and the publisher only pays for magazines that are actually sold at the newsstand. This eliminates the publisher's biggest risk—unsold inventory—making the offer irresistible.
A Bottleneck Isn't Always a Machine
The core logic of the Theory of Constraints—Identify, Exploit, Subordinate, Elevate, Repeat—applies not just to physical production lines but to any system, including sales and marketing. The bottleneck is often a flawed policy or a limiting belief.
The company's sales are limited not by production capacity, but by market demand. The 'bottleneck' is the market's perception of their products. By identifying this constraint, they subordinate all their efforts to breaking it, leading them to develop the 'Mafia Offer' that fundamentally changes their relationship with customers.
Map Out the Logic of Resistance
People don't resist change for illogical reasons. To implement a breakthrough idea, you must systematically surface and address the layers of resistance from stakeholders by mapping out the potential negative consequences of your new idea and addressing those fears logically.
When the new 'consignment' sales model is proposed, the CFO immediately objects, fearing a massive, negative cash-flow impact. Instead of arguing, the protagonist uses a 'Negative Branch' logic tree to trace the CFO's concern to its root, validates the fear, and then builds a solution into the plan that prevents the negative outcome, getting the CFO on board.
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